BTC Integrity Monitor

An independent dashboard tracking the structural health of the Bitcoin network

Last updated: —

Composite Integrity Score

/ 100

Calculating live score from six indicators…

0 — Critical 100 — Robust

Indicators

Indicator 1

Fee Market Maturity

Is the fee market maturing on schedule?

Fees as share of total block reward in BTC (90d avg)

The share of miner revenue derived from transaction fees rather than the block subsidy, measured in BTC. Relevant because the subsidy halves every four years and trends toward zero.

Indicator 2

Security Budget

Is total security spend adequate for what's being secured?

Annualized miner revenue ÷ market cap

Attackers must outspend ~/hour and sustain it for hours or days. Security spend relative to market cap; trends downward at each halving and must be replaced by fees long-term.

Indicator 3

Mining Decentralization

Is the security being provided still decentralized?

HHI of mining pools (last 7 days)

Indicator 4

Transaction Inclusion

Are transactions reliably mined regardless of who sends them?

Weighted block-template match rate (last 7 days)

Across blocks last week, were mined by pools whose block contents closely matched the public mempool. Lower match rates can indicate transaction filtering, private fee deals, or alternative inclusion policies. Blocks from unidentified pools are excluded from the match-rate average — precisely the blocks most likely to deviate, so treat this as an optimistic bound.

Indicator 5

Custodial Concentration

Is custody concentrating into a small number of intermediaries that could be coerced or compromised?

Supply held by tracked treasuries & funds

Tracked institutional holdings have grown sharply since the January 2024 launch of US spot Bitcoin ETFs, driven by ETF inflows and corporate treasury accumulation (notably Strategy). This figure covers publicly-disclosed treasuries and tracked funds; exchange custody adds a further substantial share. Concentrated custody re-introduces the trusted-third-party risk Bitcoin was designed to remove: holdings can be frozen, seized, or rehypothecated by intermediaries.

Indicator 6

Node Software Diversity

What is the level of node implementation diversity?

Core / Knots / Other (% of reachable nodes)

Core Knots Other

Knots' share has grown rapidly since 2024 alongside debate over relay policy. Rising implementation diversity reduces monoculture risk, but divergent mempool policies between implementations can fragment transaction propagation.

Methodology

The Composite Integrity Score is a weighted mean of the six indicators, each normalized to a 0–100 scale by piecewise-linear interpolation between fixed anchor values published in the calculation code. Anchors align with the Healthy / Watch / Concern thresholds shown on each card: the Watch boundary maps to 60 and the Healthy boundary to 80. The three indicator pairs below are weighted equally (one-third each). Because integrity is a weakest-link property, the composite is capped at 25 points above the lowest-scoring indicator, so strong indicators cannot mask a failing one. If fewer than four indicators have live data, no score is shown. Threshold calibration draws on the academic literature on Bitcoin's security economics (Budish 2018, Carlsten et al. 2016, Eyal & Sirer 2014, Heilman et al. 2015, among others).

Indicators 1 & 2 measure the economic sustainability of proof-of-work: whether fees can replace the diminishing block subsidy, and whether total security spend remains proportional to value at risk.

Indicators 3 & 4 measure structural and behavioral decentralization: who can produce blocks, and whether that production is being used to censor.

Indicators 5 & 6 measure off-chain capture and software monoculture — two ways the protocol's properties can be effectively bypassed even while the chain itself appears healthy.

All raw data, calculation code, and historical snapshots are published openly. This project accepts no funding from mining pools, exchanges, custodians, or wallet providers, and takes no position on which node implementation users should run.

→ Full methodology: sources, anchors & score calculation

About

BTC Integrity Monitor is an independent, non-commercial project that tracks measurable properties of the Bitcoin network relevant to its long-term integrity: economic sustainability, decentralization, censorship-resistance, custodial dispersion, and implementation diversity. This is not investment advice.